Publications

Arnald Puy

Interdisciplinary scholar assessing the effects of uncertainties, ambiguities and unknowns in model-based research.

About

My work focuses on understanding and appraising uncertainties in contentious phenomena, especially those related with agriculture, climate and water resources. My research aims at providing insights for sustainability and makes use of mathematical models, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, post-normal science and ethics of quantification.

Projects

Here I list the funded projects in which I am involved, either as a Principal Investigator or a collaborator.

DAWN - Illuminating Deep Uncertainties in the Estimation of Global Irrigation Water Withdrawals

DAWN is a Frontier Research Grant project funded by the UKRI Horizon Europe Funding Guarantee. It aims at embracing ambiguities in irrigation modelling to achieve a more robust understanding of water use for agriculture.

Publications

2025
Widely cited global irrigation statistics lack empirical support

Arnald Puy, Seth N. Linga, Nanxin Wei, Samuel Flinders, Bethan Callow, Grace Allen, Beatrice Cross, Carmen Aguiló-Rivera, Bruce Lankford. 2025. PNAS Nexus.

2025
Digital twins of the Earth between vision and fiction

Andrea Saltelli, Lieke A. Melsen, Arnald Puy. 2025. Minerva.

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